Article

DOI: 10.5937/jaes0-30258
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY 4.0

Volume 19 article 840 pages: 667-675

Ilya Samarin*
Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas, Department of Automation of Technological Processes, Moscow, Russian Federation

Sergey Grinyaev
Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas, Faculty of Integrated Security of the Fuel and Energy Complex, Moscow, Russian Federation

Andrey Strogonov
Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas, Faculty of Integrated Security of the Fuel and Energy Complex, Department of Cryptology and Algorithms, Moscow, Russian Federation

Nikolay Topolskiy
Academy of the State Fire Service of the Ministry of the Russian Federation for Civil Defense, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters, Department of Information Technology, Moscow, Russian Federation

Aleksey Kruchkov
Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas, Faculty of Integrated Security of the Fuel and Energy Complex, Department of Complex Security of Critical Facilities, Moscow, Russian Federation

This paper presents substantiation of the obligatory application of the strategic planning methods in order to improve efficiency of the automated systems of fire and explosion protection (ASFEP) at the facilities of the fuel and energy complex (FEC) in the special conditions. To this end, the technological production process of the FEC facilities is divided into destructive and creative subprocesses. It is assumed that the events that cause the potentially dangerous situations, which are connected with fires and explosions, form the destructive subprocess. The activities, which are carried out within the framework of fire safety plans at the FEC facilities and which are controlled by the shift on duty, form the creative subprocess. Events of the first subprocess reduce efficiency of the ASFEP, while events of the second subprocess increase efficiency of this system. Authors of the article propose the continuous curve of recovery of the ASFEP efficiency in order to ensure modelling the type of influence of various rehabilitation measures. Two kinds of the exponential functions enveloping the moments of fire and rehabilitation are analysed for these subprocesses. The article describes the graph of actual rehabilitation of the ASFEP efficiency taking into account assumptions concerning nature of these functions. It was established that management of the relevant measures, which is determined with the help of the strategic planning methods, is the most significant parameter in this model.

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