Istrazivanja i projektovanja za privreduJournal of Applied Engineering Science


DOI: 10.5937/jaes14-11752
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 terms and conditions. 
Creative Commons License

Volume 14 article 403 pages: 465 - 476

Milos Vujnovic
Jubmes Banka, Serbia

Nebojsa Nikolic
Jubmes Banka, Serbia

Anja Vujnovic
Jubmes Banka, Serbia

This paper presents an contemporary approach for development and validation of Loss given default (LGD) in accordance with the Basel Accords standards. The modeling data set has been based on data on recoveries of outstanding debts from corporate entities in Republic of Serbia that defaulted. The aim of the paper is to develop a LGD model capable of confirming the validity of historically observed LGD estimates on the sample of corporate entities that defualted. The modelling approach in this research is based on average LGD without time or exposure weightening. The probability density function of realized empirical LGDs has been created by beta distribution usage. The validation process on proposed LGD model has been performed by throughout testing of: cumulative LGD accuracy ratio, mean square error calculation and regression analysis. On the basis of obtained results, the possibilities of application of the developed LGD model are proposed and discussed.

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